The paper proposes an approach to deal with the day by day dynamic behaviour of Oil & Gas assets, providing support for optimized decisions on wells and facilities. The approach is based on: o A set of software agents, trained with a machine learning approach to understand the health status of the components of the reservoir/well/plant system and capable of proposing optimization actions for the corresponding subsystem; o An inter-agent negotiation approach, capable of evaluating the optimization actions of the single agents in the wider picture of the overall optimization of the producing asset. The paper will describe how this approach has been implemented, as well as an example application.
Agent negotiations
Decision support system
Optimization
MIPAS is a Fourier Transform spectrometer that measured the atmospheric limb emission spectra in the middle infrared on board the ENVISAT satellite. These measurements allowed the global monitoring of the three-dimensional (latitude, longitude and altitude) distribution of concentrations of many species, during both day and night, for 10 years, from July 2002 to April 2012.
Being a limb sounding instrument, the focus of MIPAS measurements was the study of the atmosphere from the upper troposphere to the stratosphere and above, up to the mesosphere.
The interest in these measurements goes beyond the end of the mission, as they can be used in long time series of data to determine changes in our planet's climate. To this purpose, it is therefore important to continue improving their quality. The quality of MIPAS L2 products depends on the quality of the L1 products, on the L2 model accuracy, on the quality of auxiliary data, particularly on spectroscopic data. For the last reanalysis of the whole MIPAS mission, a significant effort was made by the MIPAS Quality Working Group, supported by ESA, to improve both L1 and L2 processors, as well as spectroscopy, with the objectives of obtaining L2 products with increased accuracy, better temporal stability, and a larger number of retrieved species.
Here we present the full mission dataset, including vertical profiles of 21 trace species plus temperature, obtained by applying the latest version of ESA L2 processor (ORM V8) to the MIPAS L1 data obtained with version 8 of the L1 processor. The impact of the improvements of both L1 and L2 processors on the quality of the L2 products is presented, as well as results of the validation against independent correlative measurements.
MIPAS
Atmospheric composition
Level 2 data quality
The reverse mortgage market has been expanding rapidly in developed economies in recent years. Reverse mortgages provide an alternative source of funding for retirement income and health care costs. Increase in life expectancies and decrease in the real income at retirement continue to worry those who are retired or close to retirement. Therefore, financial products that help to alleviate the "risk of living longer" continue to be attractive among the retirees. Reverse mortgage contracts involve a range of risks from the insurer's perspective. When the outstanding balance exceeds the housing value before the loan is settled, the insurer suffers an exposure to crossover risk induced by three risk factors: interest rates, house prices and mortality rates. We analyse the combined impact of these risks on pricing and the risk profile of reverse mortgage loans in a stochastic interest-mortality-house pricing model. Our results show that pricing of reverse mortgages loans does not accurately assess the risks underwritten by reverse mortgages lenders.In particular, it fails to take into account mortality improvements substantially underestimating the longevity risk involved in reverse mortgage loans.
Equity release products
reverse mortgage
stochastic mortality
CIR model
The containment of the invasive species is a widespread problem in the environmental management, with a significant economic impact. We analyze an optimal control model which aims to find the best temporal resource allocation strategy for the removal of an invasive species. We derive the optimality system in the state and control variables and we use the phase-space analysis to provide qualitative insights about the behavior of the optimal solution. Finally, for the state-costate variables which satisfy a boundary-valued nearly-Hamiltonian system, we propose exponential Lawson symplectic approximations applied in the forward-backward form. The numerical results related to an example of invasive plant considered in Baker, et al. (Nat Resour Model 31(4):e12190, 2018), confirm the qualitative findings provided by the state-control analysis.
Invasive species
optimal control
dynamical systems
Boundary value Hamiltonian systems
Phase space analysis
Exponential Lawson Runge-Kutta
The daily exposure of social media users to propaganda and disinformation campaigns has reinvigorated the need to investigate the local and global patterns of diffusion of different (mis)information content on social media. Echo chambers and influencers are often deemed responsible of both the polarization of users in online social networks and the success of propaganda and disinformation campaigns. This article adopts a data-driven approach to investigate the structuration of communities and propaganda networks on Twitter in order to assess the correctness of these imputations. In particular, the work aims at characterizing networks of propaganda extracted from a Twitter dataset by combining the information gained by three different classification approaches, focused respectively on (i) using Tweets content to infer the "polarization" of users around a specific topic, (ii) identifying users having an active role in the diffusion of different propaganda and disinformation items, and (iii) analyzing social ties to identify topological clusters and users playing a "central" role in the network. The work identifies highly partisan community structures along political alignments; furthermore, centrality metrics proved to be very informative to detect the most active users in the network and to distinguish users playing different roles; finally, polarization and clustering structure of the retweet graphs provided useful insights about relevant properties of users exposure, interactions, and participation to different propaganda items.
Service literature has recognized the important role of customers' characteristics for successful innovation and is increasingly emphasizing the contribution of lead users. However, few studies have analyzed this issue with reference to advertising and other creative services, especially because of the difficulties in defining innovation in these industries, by capturing its complex nature. Through a large-scale survey on European advertising agencies, we provide empirical evidence of a multidimensional nature of innovation in these services, which can be better promoted by clients embodying some attributes rather than others. Indeed, our results identify three clusters, which differ for the clients' innovation enabling characteristics and their potential roles in promoting agency's innovation: the Dominant lead users; the Expert lead users; the Ordinary clients. We acknowledge the role of lead users in advertising and contribute to literature highlighting when they can be conducive to agency's innovation or be detrimental to it.
Lead users
Service innovation
Advertising agencies
The farther the better: investigating how distance from human self affects the propensity of a peptide to be presented on cell surface by MHC class I molecules, the case of Trypanosoma cruzi.
More than twenty years ago the reverse vaccinology paradigm came to light trying todesign new vaccines based on the analysis of genomic information in order to selectthose pathogen peptides able to trigger an immune response. In this context, focusingon the proteome of Trypanosoma cruzi, we investigated the link between theprobabilities for pathogen peptides to be presented on a cell surface and their distancefrom human self. We found a reasonable but, as far as we know, undiscoveredproperty: the farther the distance between a peptide and the human-self the higherthe probability for that peptide to be presented on a cell surface. We also found thatthe most distant peptides from human self bind, on average, a broader collection ofHLAs than expected, implying a potential immunological role in a large portion ofindividuals. Finally, introducing a novel quantitative indicator for a peptide tomeasure its potential immunological role, we proposed a pool of peptides that could bepotential epitopes and that can be suitable for experimental testing. The software tocompute peptide classes according to the distance from human self is free available athttp://www.iasi.cnr.it/~dsantoni/nullomers.
The post-Minkowskian approach to gravitationally interacting binary systems (i.e., perturbation theory in G, without assuming small velocities) is extended to the computation of the dynamical effects induced by the tidal deformations of two extended bodies, such as neutron stars. Our derivation applies general properties of perturbed actions to the effective field theory description of tidally interacting bodies. We compute several tidal invariants (notably the integrated quadrupolar and octupolar actions) at the fast post-Minkowskian order. The corresponding contributions to the scattering angle are derived.
Post-Minkowskian gravity
extended bodies
effective field theory
Comparing effective-one-body Hamiltonians for spin-aligned coalescing binaries
Rettegno Piero
;
Martinetti Fabio
;
Nagar Alessandro
;
Bini Donato
;
Riemenschneider Gunnar
;
Damour Thibault
TEOBResumS and SEOBNRv4 are the two existing semianalytical gravitational waveform models for spin-aligned coalescing black hole binaries based on the effective-one-body (EOB) approach. They are informed by numerical relativity simulations and provide the relative dynamics and waveforms from early inspiral to plunge, merger, and ringdown. The central building block of each model is the EOB resummed Hamiltonian. The two models implement different Hamiltonians that are both deformations of the Hamiltonian of a test spinning black hole moving around a Kerr black hole. Here we analytically compare, clement by clement, the two Hamiltonians. In particular: we illustrate that one can introduce a centrifiigal radius in SEOBNRv4, so to rewrite the Hamiltonian in a more compact form that is analogous to the one of TEOBResumS. The latter centrifugal radius cannot, however, be identified with the one used in TEOBResumS because the two models differ in their ways of incorporating spin effects in their respective deformations of the background Kerr Hamiltonian. We performed extensive comparisons between the energetics corresponding to the two Hamiltonians using gauge-invariant quantities. Finally, as an exploratory investigation, we apply the postadiabatic approximation to the newly rewritten SEOBNRv4 Hamiltonian, illustrating that it is possible to generate long-inspiral waveforms with negligible computational cost.
An Ermakov-Pinney-like equation associated with the scalar wave equation in curved space-time is here studied. The example of Schwarzschild space-time considered in the present work shows that this equation can be viewed more as a "model equation," with interesting applications in black hole physics. Other applications studied involve cosmological space-times (de Sitter) and pulse of plane gravitational waves: in all these cases the evolution of the Ermakov-Pinney field seems to be consistent with a rapid blow-up, unlike the Schwarzschild case where spatially damped oscillations are allowed. Eventually, the phase function is also evaluated in many of the above space-time models.
Ermakov-Pinney equation
wave equation
Schwarzschild
de Sitter
We compute the first-order self-force contribution to Detweiler's redshift invariant for extended bodies endowed with both dipolar and quadrupolar structure (with spin-induced quadrupole moment) moving along circular orbits on a Schwarzschild background. Our analysis includes effects which arc second order in spin, generalizing previous results for purely spinning particles. The perturbing body is assumed to move on the equatorial plane, the associated spin vector being orthogonal to it. The metric perturbations are obtained by using a standard gravitational self-force approach in a radiation gauge. Our results are accurate through the 6.5 post-Newtonian order, and arc shown to reproduce the corresponding post-Newtonian expression for the same quantity computed by using the available Hamiltonian from an effective field theory approach for the dynamics of spinning binaries.
Using the new methodology introduced in a recent paper [D. Bini, T. Damour, and A. Geralico, Phys. Rev. Lett. 123, 231104 (2019)], we present the details of the computation of the conservative dynamics of gravitationally interacting binary systems at the fifth post-Newtonian (5PN) level, together with its extension at the fifth-and-a-half post-Newtonian level. We present also the sixth post-Newtonian (6PN) contribution to the third-post-Minkowskian (3PM) dynamics. Our strategy combines several theoretical formalisms: post-Newtonian, post-Minkowskian, multipolar-post-Minkowskian, gravitational self-force, effective one-body, and Delaunay averaging. We determine the full functional structure of the 5PN Hamiltonian (which involves 95 nonzero numerical coefficients), except for two undetermined coefficients proportional to the cube of the symmetric mass ratio, and to the fifth and sixth power of the gravitational constant, G. We present not only the 5PN-accurate, 3PM contribution to the scattering angle but also its 6PN-accurate generalization. Both results agree with the corresponding truncations of the recent 3PM result of Bern et al. [Z. Bern, C. Cheung, R. Roiban, C. H. Shen, M. P. Solon, and M. Zeng, Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 201603 (2019)]. We also compute the 5PN-accurate, fourth-post-Minkowskian (4PM) contribution to the scattering angle, including its nonlocal contribution, thereby offering checks for future 4PM calculations. We point out a remarkable hidden simplicity of the gauge-invariant functional relation between the radial action and the effective-one-body energy and angular momentum.
Using a recently introduced method [D. Bini, T. Damour, and A. Geralico, Phys. Rev. Lett. 123, 231104 (2019)], which splits the conservative dynamics of gravitationally interacting binary systems into a nonlocal-in-time part and a local-in-time one, we compute the local part of the dynamics at the sixth post-Newtonian (6PN) accuracy. Our strategy combines several theoretical formalisms: post-Newtonian, post-Minkowskian, multipolar-post-Minkowskian, effective-field-theory, gravitational self-force, effective one-body, and Delaunay averaging. The full functional structure of the local 6PN Hamiltonian (which involves 151 numerical coefficients) is derived, but contains four undetermined numerical coefficients. Our 6PN-accurate results are complete at orders G(3) and G(4), and the derived O(G(3)) scattering angle agrees, within our 6PN accuracy, with the computation of [Z. Bern, C. Cheung, R. Roiban, C. H. Shen, M. P. Solon, and M. Zeng, Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 201603 (2019)]. All our results are expressed in several different gauge-invariant ways. We highlight, and make a crucial use of, several aspects of the hidden simplicity of the mass-ratio dependence of the two-body dynamics.
Two-body system Hamiltonian
6 Post-Newtonian approximation
We complete our previous derivation, at the sixth post-Newtonian (6PN) accuracy, of the local-in-time dynamics of a gravitationally interacting two-body system by giving two gauge-invariant characterizations of its complementary nonlocal-in-time dynamics. On the one hand, we compute the nonlocal part of the scattering angle for hyberboliclike motions; and, on the other hand, we compute the nonlocal part of the averaged (Delaunay) Hamiltonian for ellipticlike motions. The former is computed as a large-angular-momentum expansion (given here to next-to-next-to-leading order), while the latter is given as a small-eccentricity expansion (given here to the tenth order). We note the appearance of zeta(3) in the nonlocal part of the scattering angle. The averaged Hamiltonian for ellipticlike motions then yields two more gauge-invariant observables: the energy and the periastron precession as functions of orbital frequencies. We point out the existence of a hidden simplicity in the mass-ratio dependence of the gravitational-wave energy loss of a two-body system. We include a Supplemental Material that gives the explicit analytic form of a scattering integral which we could only evaluate numerically.
nonlocal dynamics in bynary systems
6 Post-Newtonian approximation
Timelike geodesics on a hyperplane orthogonal to the symmetry axis of the Godel spacetime appear to be elliptic-like if standard coordinates naturally adapted to the cylindrical symmetry are used. The orbit can then be suitably described through an eccentricity-semi-latus rectum parametrization, familiar from the Newtonian dynamics of a two-body system. However, changing coordinates such planar geodesics all become explicitly circular, as exhibited by Kundt's form of the Godel metric. We derive here a one-to-one correspondence between the constants of the motion along these geodesics as well as between the parameter spaces of elliptic-like versus circular geodesics. We also show how to connect the two equivalent descriptions of particle motion by introducing a pair of complex coordinates in the 2-planes orthogonal to the symmetry axis, which brings the metric into a form which is invariant under Mobius transformations preserving the symmetries of the orbit, i.e., taking circles to circles.
The paper deals with de la Vallee Poussin type interpolation on the square at tensor product Chebyshev zeros of the first kind. The approximation is studied in the space of locally continuous functions with possible algebraic singularities on the boundary, equipped with weighted uniform norms. In particular, simple necessary and sufficient conditions are proved for the uniform boundedness of the related Lebesgue constants. Error estimates in some Sobolev-type spaces are also given. Pros and cons of such a kind of filtered interpolation are analyzed in comparison with the Lagrange polynomials interpolating at the same Chebyshev grid or at the equal number of Padua nodes. The advantages in reducing the Gibbs phenomenon are shown by means of some numerical experiments. (C) 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
In the present paper, we propose a numerical method for the simultaneous approximation of the finite Hilbert and Hadamard transforms of a given function f, supposing to know only the samples of f at equidistant points. As reference interval we consider [-1,1] and as approximation tool we use iterated Boolean sums of Bernstein polynomials, also known as generalized Bernstein polynomials. Pointwise estimates of the errors are proved, and some numerical tests are given to show the performance of the procedures and the theoretical results.
Hilbert transform
Hadamard transform
hypersingular integral
Bernstein polynomials
Boolean sum
simultaneous approximation
equidistant nodes
We consider the problem of learning the link parameters as well as the structure of a binary-valued pairwise Markov model. Under sparsity assumption, we propose a method based on l1-regularized logistic regression, which estimate globally the whole set of edges and link parameters. Unlike the more recent methods discussed in literature that learn the edges and the corresponding link parameters one node at a time, in this work we propose a method that learns all the edges and corresponding link parameters simultaneously for all nodes. The idea behind this proposal is to exploit the reciprocal information of the nodes between each other during the estimation process. Numerical experiments highlight the advantage of this technique and confirm the intuition behind it. (C) 2020 International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (IMACS). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Let P and (P) over tilde be the laws of two discrete-time stochastic processes defined on the sequence space S-N,where S is a finite set of points. In this paper we derive a bound on the total variation distance d(TV)(P, (P) over tilde) in terms of the cylindrical projections of P and (P) over tilde. We apply the result to Markov chains with finite state space and random walks on Z with not necessarily independent increments, and we consider several examples. Our approach relies on the general framework of stochastic analysis for discrete-time obtuse random walks and the proof of our main result makes use of the predictable representation of multidimensional normal martingales. Along the way, we obtain a sufficient condition for the absolute continuity of (P) over tilde with respect to P which is of interest in its own right.
Total variation distance
Markov chains
Random walks
Normal martingales
Obtuse random walks
We prove an almost sure central limit theorem on the Poisson space, which is perfectly tailored for stabilizing functionals arising in stochastic geometry. As a consequence, we provide almost sure central limit theorems for (i) the total edge length of the k-nearest neighbors random graph. (ii) the clique count in random geometric graphs. and (iii) the volume of the set approximation via the Poisson-Voronoi tessellation.
Almost sure limit theorem
Malliavin calculus
Poisson process
random graphs
stabilization
stochastic geometry